Greed, Fear, Or Research – Stock Trading Strategies That Work

Greed Versus Fear

When the market is going up investors and traders that actively participate in it are said to be motivated by greed. When those same investors refuse to participate when the market is going down, by either cashing out or not adding to current positions, those same traders and investors are said to be motivated by fear. Contrarians are told to buy when everyone else is fearful and sell when everyone else is greedy.

Is all of this investing behavior correct, incorrect, or a mixture of both? If it's a mixture then which part is correct and which is incorrect? Everyone must admit that greed has paid off, but so has fear, and contrarianism. So buy and hold is the strategy that is recommended to take advantage of all of the ups and all of the downs in the market.

Buy And Hold

Since the stock market averages up over time the wisdom is stay in it for the long-haul and don't worry about its price fluctuations.

Experts say "if an investor were to have held an S&P 500 index fund between Jan. 1, 1995 and Dec. 31, 2014, they'd have netted a cumulative return of 555%, or 9.9% a year. This includes holding through both the dot-com bubble and the Great Recession. But, had they missed just the 10-best trading days over this 20-year period because they'd scurried to the sidelines out of fear, their aggregate return would have been more than halved to 191%."

But isn't the reverse also true? What if an active trading investor hadn't been in the market for just the 10-worst trading days over a 20-year period where would their portfolio have been? Wouldn't the aggregate return be far-higher than the average return over that period?

Timing The Market

All experts agree that this can't be done. While it is true that it can't be done with 100% accuracy is it possible for an informed trader to be right more often then he or she is wrong? Thus maximizing participation in the market on it's best days and minimizing the damage done on it's worst days? Sure, sure that's a better way but only professional trading gurus and large analytical staffs could ever hope to succeed at this strategy, right?

Research To The Rescue?

The internet has opened up information to retail investors that used to only be available to experts. Gurus used to process this financial information and come up with indicators that could give them an advantage in knowing when to limit or maximize trading in particular stocks. But now with the internet, and the research available at various trading services, even retail investors (non-experts) can improve their ability to trade in and out of stocks manifesting trading signals for price increases and decreases. Technical indicators combined with the financial news now available for stocks that trade on the US stock exchanges can warn retail traders as to which stocks to avoid and give a heads up regarding stocks to buy because they are poised to move up in price.

Now it comes down to choosing which stock research site to use. There are a prolific amount of research sites to choose from and success at the use of any will be dependent on the skill of the individual trader to execute on the information given. With care and attention to detail the right stock research site combined with timely news about stocks on a watch list can result in an above average success rate on choosing and timing the buying and selling of winning stocks.

Resources for financial news on stocks:
Yahoo Finance
CNBC
Bloomberg
MSN Money
Zacks

Resources for easy trading research and signals:
Most Excellent Investor - our site

Why Intraday Stock Trading Is Not Just For Professionals

Non-Professional Stock Traders Beware

Non-professional stock traders are told to leave the intraday stock trading to the professionals. This warning is a protection for the unprepared stock trader but a well prepared (and disciplined) amateur can still win trading stocks by holding very short-term (less than a day) positions in the stock market.

Why Intraday Stock Trading Is Risky

It's a given that high reward brings high risk.  There is very high reward from high returns that Intraday trading brings. When the market, or even an individual stock, has a down day often times there are times during the trading day that a profit can be made as stock price(s) dip and recover. Get it right and a trader can win during the day even when the market is down.  But get it wrong and an trader could lose intra day even when the market is up. But the trader who is prepared ahead of time for the day's trading can jump on an opportunity when it appears.

Prepared How?

Besides real-time stock trading information something else must be added to the arsenal of the intra day stock trader. We like to refer to it as ahead-of-time analytics. Specific stock trading opportunities based on trading indicators gathered on watch lists ahead of time can be used in conjunction with real-time analytics as the trading day progresses toward the pivot time(s) indicated by the ahead-of-time watch list.

Where Can You Find The Stock Analytics Necessary For Intra day Success?

The internet is a wonder. Expert information on a variety of subjects are found at your finger tips. But to be successful at trading stocks intra day requires actionable information. There are high cost stock trading services that can provide actionable trading information. This website is one stock trading resource that provides specific watch lists based on trading indicators that ensure the stocks listed are volatile enough, have the proper market interest and technical signals for the time(s) indicated.

A daily snippet of a sample from one of our watch lists is provided for free. Use of the stocks with the research that has gone into the ones chosen for our watch lists can help even non-professionals trade stocks intra day with consistent success.

Is It Really Possible To Earn Two Percent Per Day Stock Trading?

In a word, YES, it is possible to make 2.5% on your money each day trading in the stock market. With the proper trading strategy it definitely is possible to earn even more than that per day. All you need is a play book to trade by and that is what Most Excellent Investor hourly stock watch lists provides for all of our members.

You see there are dozens of stocks with volatile stock prices that move up and down during the day.  There are many stock traders that trade these stocks every day giving these stocks the volume necessary to make them viable candidates for quick entry and exit points each day. Their volatility makes it easy to make big gains but also big losses so timing is critical.

That's the value of the research done and reporting generated on this site. Our hourly watch lists are produced using proprietary algorithms along with standard technical indicators to produce a trading model for each stock in our universe of graded stocks.  Potential results from stock trading based on use of our watch lists can be measured by paper trading our watch lists in real time during the opening 7-day trial period for each of our memberships.

Without making any income claims it is possible to paper trade and see more than a 2.5% gain per day by paper trading multiple times during the trading day. Since we produce hourly watch lists with approximate trading times in which to enter a trade a trader can identify winning trades every hour. Paper trade first to gain confidence in our analytics.

If you don't have the inclination to paper trade in real time you can always wait until the end-of-day and back test our watch lists. Either way, real-time paper trade or back test, if not convinced that our watch lists can work for you cancel anytime before your next billing cycle and you won't be charged further.

 

What Is The Secret to Successful Short-Term Stock Trading?

Short term or day trading is a highly speculative endeavor. Speculation in the stock market is not the ability to know the future since no one can know the future. So how do you speculate with any success?

Develop strategies with winning advantages, when the odds are on your side you have the chance to win more often than you lose. Work the odds correctly and you will lose less often (but be warned that you can still lose).

Take heart, short-term trading is how most traders and would be traders play the markets. For individual stock traders short-term trading offers the greatest financial rewards. But on the flip side short-term also presents the greatest challenge, requiring constant attention and vigilance and a strict plan.

This website offers hourly stock watch lists containing stocks that have the odds stacked in their favor for a rise in price. The analytics used are based on the proprietary use of technical indicators such as price and volume, price convergence/divergence, supply and demand, and trending. All watch lists presented on this site are used best for determining short-term stock positions.

The 7 Day FREE Trial period is so that all new members have the opportunity to back test and paper trade while looking at the performance of the stocks in our watch lists without risking any money (not even the price of our subscription since if cancelled within the 7 Days you won't be billed).

The secret to successful short-term trading is choosing stocks that follow the trend of your trading style, and strictly following the trading plan you developed before hand - when to get in, how long to stay, when to get out - that limits loss of principal (amount invested), and maximizes profits.

This is not a set-it-and-forget-it endeavor. It's more of a set-it-and-watch-it so as to be ready to get out of a trade endeavor. The analytics behind the hourly watch lists presented on this site provide a head start in picking day trade winning stocks. After back testing and paper trading you can determine the best time of day to make and duration to stay in your trades.

Here's to your fruitful day trading!

Stock Trading Software: How Does It Help You

Owning very good stock trading software can be very handy for making faster and easier transactions in the stock exchange. It is a great way to analyze the market with the use of an computerized solution that is capable of examining important indexes as well as giving you a preview of which shares you should consider trading.

Stock trading software is basically a computer program (sometimes its an internet service) that sits on your computer integrated with a brokerage account allowing you a certain degree of access to the stocks of any exchange in the world. The program may have the ability to analyze movements within international markets too.

Traders often use this kind of software to perform both buying and selling in the stock exchange. It  offers investors various benefits that can help them in successfully engaging in the stock market. Here are some of the ways that the software helps you:

Time Saving

One of the major benefits in using stock trading software is that it saves you a lot of time. After all, time is a very essential factor in stock trading for you to be able to make the best deals in the most timely manner.

Through the use of trading software, you can forego having to spend a long time trying to interpret data for your stocks through printed reports or online stock pages. Through a single click of the mouse, the software can download the necessary information and will process all the data for you so you can make your decisions faster.

Objective Guidance

Another great benefit for using trading software is that it can give you great trading guidance, especially if you are a beginner. Because the program is not based on emotions when presenting its selections to you, a more objective and truthful judgment on which stocks will be best to invest in can be delivered. And so, there is a better chance that you will be guided to making a better and unbiased decision.

More Control

Using stock trading software also gives you more access and control over your own accounts. Instead of relying only on brokers to negotiate deals for you, you are now empowered to handle a lot of the work yourself, and you can even check on how your investments are doing in the market at anytime. This way, you can monitor your stocks more effectively.

Broadening Of Your Portfolio

Finally, the use of trading software can also allow you to make international trades easier and this may broaden your portfolio. Because the program is based on information technology and a vast online network, it would be easier for you to make global transactions without having to leave your own home. This can pave way to broaden your stock portfolio and even make it more secure.

Indeed, the use of trading software is a great way to maximize what modern technology has to offer and incorporate it into your profit making. By saving you a lot of time, giving you more objective advice, empowering you to have more control and broadening your portfolio, these programs have proven very useful for anyone interested in trading stocks.

And so, if you are interested in making your stock transactions faster and easier, or if you are merely new to the market and want very good assistance in your decision making, then you can invest in a good stock trading software package.

How Do You Use A Stock Trading Watch List?

How To Use A Watch List

Stock trading watch lists are just what the name suggests, a list of stocks to keep an eye on. An investor is watching either the price or the volume action for a particular stock, or a particular group of stocks, in a list.

The Most Excellent Investor website is based on stock research for taking long positions - buying stocks and selling them. So the watch lists on this site are geared toward establishing long positions. (Note: in this context the word long does not indicate a length of time, but instead indicates the practice of buying shares of stocks first, then selling them; as opposed to shorting/selling shares first then buying to cover later.)

What Are You Watching For?

You are watching for stocks to approach some pivot point that will indicate that they are ready to make a move in price up or down. If you are looking to establish a long position - buy a stock first then sell it after the price rises - then you are watching for signs indicating the stock price is ready to make a move up. If you are looking to short a stock - sell shares you don't own at a high price then buy shares to cover your short when the stock price later drops - then you are watching for signs indicating the stock price is ready to make a move down.

Remember, Most Excellent Investor watch lists have a long bias, and are designed for investors with short-term long positions in mind (buy shares then sell the shares at a higher price).

What To Do When What You Watched For Happens?

Once a stock reaches the pivot point you anticipated then it is time to act - buy and take your position in a trade, or sell and take profits from your long position already held.

The research behind MostExcellentInvestor.com's watch lists are based on well known indicators (such as MACD - moving average convergence divergence, OBV - on balance volume, EMA - exponential moving average, and others) plus our proprietary algorithms.

Our hourly watch lists give the approximate timing of the minute you can expect a stock to make a move up. If it seems you missed a move on a particular stock it's best to let it go; no worries because there is another stock that hour that will make a move. Just check our watch list for that hour, or the next.

When Do You Get Out?

Once your anticipated price movement has taken place then you should close your position and move to the next trade that you have been watching out for.

If you entered into a long position by buying shares of a stock then when you've made the profit you anticipated then it is time to sell. For short-term trades usually a 2% - 2.5% gain is all that you can expect. But since you have the potential to do this multiple times a day the ROI is great for many small gains.

Bottom Line: Take advantage of our Free 7 Day Trial, which will usually give you 5 trading days no matter which day you sign-up.  Use the first day or two to "paper trade" our watch lists - don't actually make trades but see what would have happened had you made them.  You will see how valuable our watch lists are without taking any risks. If you find them valuable then start trading for real.  If you don't find them valuable you can cancel your membership before 7 days and not be charged.  Click here to give us a try!

How Rich Stock Traders Pick Winning Stocks And Make More Money

So You Want To Be A Rich Stock Trader

There are rich stock traders and there are traders who go bust. The difference between the two types is the rich traders pick winning stocks and the busted traders get stuck with too many losers.  If you pick winning stocks you'll make more money, and improve your chances for not going bust.

Of course no one starts trading stocks to lose money. All stock traders see themselves growing wealthy to live a better life and help more people; their family or their fellow man. As mentioned at the beginning to make money in the stock market you (the future rich stock trader) must pick winning stocks. How?

Rich traders generally have an advantage that they capitalize on. They have a system or a service that identifies stocks that meet the criteria for their trading strategy of buy low and sell high. They concentrate only on the specific stocks that trade according to the pattern of their specific strategy.

Strategies For Picking Winning Stocks

The first criteria for a winning stock is that it has to be one that lots of other traders are interested in. Trading volume can be an indicator of this. More importantly the direction of change in volume should be going up.  How do they find stocks that meet this first criteria? Usually successful traders use a service or a stock screener that identifies these stocks for them.

Next a stock with a high amount of interest (increasing volume) needs to have a price that is rising or at least anticipated to rise. There are various trading indicators that will signal this condition, on balance volume (OBV), dollar trading volume, moving average convergence & divergence (MACD) and others. Used in combination all of these indicators can be used to confirm a stocks candidacy for a winning trade.

Somewhat harder to identify is a stock with a good story or good news driving it's price. The reason why its called "news" is because nobody knew it before it was released (supposedly). So a good story is hard to anticipate. But as they say "success" leaves footprints. A stock's fundamentals (how much the company makes and at what cost) is a good way to measure and compare one stock with another to identify emerging good news.

After finding a stock with a high level of investor/trader interest, strong price, a good story then the only thing left to do is determine a good price "entry point" (when to buy) and an "exit point" (when to sell after making a profit).  Rich traders buy when the price is on the way up (buy low) and after  the anticipated rise in price takes place they sell before the price starts to drop (sell high).

Am I Too Late - How Do I Know The Opportunity Hasn't Already Passed?

There are a combination of indicators that can be used to identify stocks that are reaching a "top".  And if the opportunity to capitalize on trading a particular stock has already passed so be it, let it go.  As the price of a targeted stock dips in the future a new opportunity may present itself. There will always be another stock that will give you the opportunity to capitalize on its price move.  Just identify that other stock quickly.

The best way to identify the next winning stock is to use analytics that are applied to the entire market each day. On a daily basis our service generates a watch list of stocks that meet the criteria spoken of in this article in addition to many other proprietary criteria. Membership to our service will give you statistics and analytics for many winning stocks in winning industries and sectors.

Evaluate our stock trading analytics FREE for the first seven days here.

 

How To Choose A Broker

Choosing a Broker

Whether you are a stock trader or a stock investor you need a stock broker. As you no doubt already know there is a difference between stock trading and stock investing. Investors buy stocks long-term, stock traders buy them short-term. Either way you need someone to execute your stock trades.

Depending on the type of investing that you plan to do, you may need to hire a broker to handle your investments for you. Brokers work for brokerage houses and have the ability to buy and sell stock on the stock exchange. You may wonder if you really need a broker. The answer is yes. If you intend to buy or sell stocks on the stock exchange, you must have a broker.

Stockbrokers are required to pass two different tests in order to obtain their license. These tests are very difficult, and most brokers have a background in business or finance, with a Bachelors or Masters Degree.

It is very important to understand the difference between a broker and a stock market analyst. An analyst literally analyzes the stock market, and predicts what it will or will not do, or how specific stocks will perform. A stock broker is only there to follow your instructions to either buy or sell stock… not to analyze stocks.

Brokers earn their money from commissions on sales in most cases. When you instruct your broker to buy or sell a stock, they earn a set percentage of the transaction. Many brokers charge a flat ‘per transaction’ fee.

There are two types of brokers: Full service brokers and discount brokers. Full service brokers can usually offer more types of investments, may provide you with investment advice, and is usually paid in commissions.

Discount brokers typically do not offer any advice and do no research – they just do as you ask them to do, without all of the bells and whistles.

So, the biggest decision you must make when it come to brokers is whether you want a full service broker or a discount broker.

If you are new to investing, you may need to go with a full service broker to ensure that you are making wise investments. They can offer you the skill that you lack at this point. However, if you are already knowledgeable about the stock market, all you really need is a discount broker to make your trades for you.

Why Does Technical Analysis Work?

The Psychology Behind Technical Trading

Markets are based on willing sellers interacting with willing buyers. The seller  offers something of value and  the buyer is willing to give up something of equal value to obtain what the seller is offering. In the stock market the value placed on stocks (the thing offered between sellers and buyers) is based on the beliefs, needs, and wants of the seller versus the beliefs, needs, and wants of the buyer. The price of stocks fluctuate because the beliefs of buyers and sellers differ at any point in time and at any given price of a stock.

Beliefs

Sellers of a stock usually believe the price of the stock will soon drop so they want to sell and take profits or minimize further loss. Buyers believe that a stock price is going to rise so they are willing to buy at the current price with hopes that their belief is true.  Sometimes the beliefs of buyers and sellers can be the same but their time horizons can be different. For instance in the long-term both buyer and seller may believe the price of a stock will rise, but the seller may not have the desire to wait long-term so he or she sells to the buyer that is willing to wait.

Technical Analysis Can Identify Sentiment And Thus Price Movement

Time, price, and volume used in combination are the key metrics that most indicators are based on to calculate whether it is fear or greed that drives the market, or a particular stock, at any given time.  We won't discuss any specific indicator here except to say that even when trading stocks based on their fundamentals (expected earnings, etc) technical indicators are a good way to identify how fast or slow the price will move to meet the expectations based on the fundamentals.

The technical indicators used to produce the watch lists on this site are calculated daily at the end-of-day when all price and volume for every stock is definitively known.  With our watch lists in hand at the beginning of the trading day our members can develop a trading plan that can help them compete with the high frequency trading programs in finding and executing profitable trades..